The revenue for Gedeptin is expected to reach an annual total of $15 mn by 2039 in the US based off GlobalData’s Expiry Model. The drug’s revenue forecasts along with estimated costs are used to measure the value of an investment opportunity in that drug, otherwise known as net present value (NPV). Applying the drug’s phase transition success rate to remaining R&D costs and likelihood of approval (LoA) to sales related costs provides a risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV). The rNPV model is a more conservative valuation measure that accounts for the risk of a drug in clinical development failing to progress.
Gedeptin Overview
Gedeptin (Ad/PNP-F-araAMP) is under development for the treatment of oropharyngeal cancer, nasopharyngeal, salivary gland cancer and head and neck cancer. Ad/PNP is administered intratumorally with co-administration of fludarabine phosphate intravenously. Adenovirus/PNP is an adenovirus loaded with E. coli purine nucleoside phosphorylase (E. coli PNP). The drug candidate is developed based on PNP Technology.
GeoVax Labs Overview
GeoVax Labs (GeoVax) is a biotechnology company that develops immunotherapies and vaccines against cancers and various infectious diseases. GeoVax develops vaccines using its novel patented Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Virus like Particle (MVA-VLP) vector vaccine platform focused on therapy areas such as infectious diseases like HIV, Lassa fever, Ebola, Zika virus, malaria, Hepatitis B, coronavirus, and cancers related to solid tumors and HPV-associated head and neck cancer. It has partnerships for preclinical and clinical testing with various government, academic and corporate entities, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Leidos Inc, Scripps Research Institute, and Emory University. GeoVax is headquartered in Smyrna, Georgia, the US.
The company reported revenues of (US Dollars) US$0.1 million for the fiscal year ended December 2022 (FY2022), a decrease of 78.8% over FY2021. The operating loss of the company was US$14 million in FY2022, compared to an operating loss of US$18.6 million in FY2021. The net loss of the company was US$14 million in FY2022, compared to a net loss of US$18.6 million in FY2021.
For a complete picture of Gedeptin’s valuation, buy the drug’s risk-adjusted NPV model (rNPV) here.
GlobalData, the leading provider of industry intelligence, provided the underlying data, research, and analysis used to produce this article.
To create this model, GlobalData takes into account factors including patent law, known and projected regulatory approval processes, cash flows, drug margins and company expenses. Combining these data points with GlobalData’s world class analysis creates high value models that companies can use to help in evaluation processes for each drug or company.
The rNPV method integrates the probability of a drug reaching a clinical stage into the cash flow at that time, which provides a more accurate valuation, as it considers the probability that the drug never makes it through the clinical pathway to commercialization. GlobalData’s rNPV model uses proprietary likelihood of approval (LoA) and phase transition success rate (PTSR) data for the indication in the highest development stage, which can be found on GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center.
Source link
#current #valuation #GeoVax #Labss #Gedeptin
